507: Orderly Probability

Scenario 1: Which winning number group is more likely to occur?

1-2-3-4-5-6  OR 4-8-15-16-23-42

Scenario 2: Which winning number group is more likely to occur if the numbers are drawn in any order and THEN put into ascending order by the presenter?

1-2-3-4-5-6  OR 4-8-15-16-23-42

In which of the above two scenarios is getting the winning numbers more likely?

source: Jeff Suzuki